11 Forecasts for 2012…and beyond
It is surprising that so many sources have, independently of each other, predicted a major turning point in 2012: Mayan calendar, Aztec calendar, Nostradamus, and even NASA which predicts major solar storms. No doubt this is because the ancient sources are based on the observation of the cycle of the stars, in other words on ancient – and relevant – astrology.
The main theories are based on the Mayan calendar, which operates on a 5,126-year count, ending on the winter solstice, December 21, 2012.
The Mayans prophesied that from the solar eclipse of August 11, 1999 and the planetary alignment in the Great Cross that accompanied it, we have 13 years to make changes in attitude that will move us away from the path of self-destruction. and engage us in a new path of spiritual development, the Golden Age. Their prediction is that the forces of nature will act as a catalyst for change with such power that humanity, its social organization, its techniques, will be powerless against them. These events will not necessarily mark the end of the world, but only the beginning of a new era – if our civilization seizes this last chance to achieve the changes required of it for its spiritual regeneration.
It is clear that this has a taste of déjà vu. Isn’t this what has been happening before our eyes since approximately the year 2000? On the economic level alone, it is proven that the effects of the financial shock which occurred then were simply postponed. Hence the importance of formulating forecasts based on observation and analysis for 2012 and beyond. These forecasts are above all reasoned hypotheses which can serve as a basis for discussion to try to better understand where we are going. The following forecasts must be assigned a probability coefficient of 25 to 75% which in reality can take various forms. The further out we go over a 5-year horizon, the greater the probability of the forecast occurring.
Prediction #1 – The world will not end on December 21, 2012.
The world will not end on December 21, 2012, but some elements of current human civilization could come to an end or peak crisis around this time ..The international monetary system and the global economy, in particular, are heading towards total collapse. The environment is heading towards a breaking point, whether it is chemical pollution of the oceans, the regression of biodiversity or global warming. The chemical load in our bodies is reaching a critical point which could lead to a disintegration of public health. Without attaching fetishistic importance to the precise date of December 21, we can see that many aspects of reality are heading towards their own collapse, followed by a probable rebirth in entirely new forms. The key points concern economics, ecology, epidemiology, demography, and geopolitics.
Prediction #2 – The global economy will head towards total collapse.
The financial crisis of 2008-2009 will be “double-dip”. More serious than that of the 1930s, it will lead to a general recession, disastrous for a civilization which relies entirely on economic employment and consumption.
Money printing and fiscal deficit policies will lead to a loss of confidence in fiat currencies. Investors and financial markets will more than ever be the real checks and balances on governments, while voters and taxpayers will continue to have no real influence.
In Europe, large bank failures will occur due to banks’ exposure to sovereign defaults. Sovereign debt problems will prove insurmountable, leading to an implosion of the euro and a return to coordinated national currencies in a monetary snake. The transition will be politically and economically difficult but could prove beneficial in a second phase because the least competitive economies will be able to devalue.
In the United States, the economy will remain anemic and will enter a Japanese-style spiral. The US debt will reach new heights and politicians in Congress and the White House will strive to delay the default deadline but will not succeed. International investors will exit US government bonds as soon as the euro problem has been resolved one way or another. The US government, unable to finance itself, will resort to money printing, which will undermine the dollar as an international reserve currency and cause inflation to first creep and then accelerate after 2013. The end result will be the complete bankruptcy of the American state well before 2025.
Growth in China’s economy will slow as its major export markets remain depressed and China’s real estate bubble bursts. Inflationary pressures will remain high due to wage demands and social conflicts. China’s economic slowdown will affect economies that supply it with raw materials and technology. In addition, China will diversify its foreign exchange reserves by selling US debt securities, which will affect the US economy.
The BRICs will be affected by the difficulties of Western economies and the bursting of credit bubbles and political unrest.
Gold, rare metals, certain commodities will rise. Stocks and bonds will fall.
The monetary upheaval will result in the abandonment of the dollar as an international reserve currency by certain countries, notably in Asia and Latin America, which will seek to defend themselves against the erosion of debt and imported inflation. North American cities, regions or states will launch experiments with local currencies.
In Western countries, the growing gap between the number of active workers and the number of beneficiaries will force us to question the pay-as-you-go retirement systems and subsequently to question the intervention of States in welfare to the detriment of mutuality and capitalization.
The defaults of certain States will turn into real bankruptcies consisting of the elimination, privatization or pooling of certain services, in transfers of assets and in the reduction of the size of these States. Governments will be forced into drastic civil service reforms aimed at doing more with less. The positive effect is that citizens will take more direct responsibilities in local and solidarity services and in the justice and police systems.
Prediction #3 – Social turbulence and unrest will intensify.
Economic difficulties will result in very high unemployment and a considerable increase in poverty. Urban riots, hunger riots, theft and gratuitous violence will be more numerous.
Infrastructure failures and accidents as well as climatic and economic problems will lead to population displacements accompanied by looting. Crime and piracy will be endemic and persistent evils.
Traditional political parties will be shaken up by new parties, and existing regimes will be destabilized by popular movements. Overall, despite these changes, politics will remain largely powerless to resolve the problems.
The development of poverty and precariousness will lead to the collapse of futile consumer values. The cult of the automobile will resist fiercely but could ultimately be shaken by the developments imposed by events. We will witness the rebirth of compassionate and supportive values.
Prediction #4 – Climate disorders will intensify ..
Global warming will become an increasingly documented and uncontested reality.
There will be more floods, tidal waves, storms, heat waves and cold spells. There will be droughts in normally wet areas and floods in normally arid areas. Populations will be displaced for billions in material damage.
Food crises are possible in sub-Saharan Africa, the Bay of Bengal and South Asia, but also in developed countries. Climatic disorders will lead to disruptions in the supply of basic necessities, including in Western countries. People will discover that their food is neither as plentiful nor as guaranteed as they imagined. This could be due to plant diseases but more likely due to extreme weather conditions which will affect harvests. This will result in pressure on the prices of food raw materials and water.
Contamination of plants by GMGMOs as well as pollution or infections in the food chain could lead to a partial food crisis. Tensions will arise between affected farmers and large corporations such as Monsanto, and the GMO problem will receive new public attention. The research will show a relationship between consumption of genetically modified products and internal organ damage in laboratory animals.
The collapse of the bee population will spread to other species such as amphibians and fish. Observers and scientists will note an alarming decline in avian populations and a worrying loss of biodiversity in many regions.
Prediction #5 – Major infrastructure failures will intensify.
Consequences of the disorganization caused by excessively massive job cuts, quality problems and major infrastructure failures will occur, such as that of the energy grid in the United States or Europe. Regional grid failures will lead to millions being without power. New nuclear incidents will recall the Fukushima disaster and strengthen opposition to the nuclear industry, while governments secretly prepare plans to revive this form of energy. Ultimately, new major accidents will force the nuclear lobby to abandon its dominant positions, including in the countries where it is the most powerful.
Outages will also affect communications satellites, due to space debris, solar storms, or military actions by rival powers.
Increased failures will affect the health and hospital system. This could involve abuse of patients arbitrarily placed in the terminal phase, spectacular medical blunders, propitiatory illnesses, disruptions in the supply of medicines, or a lack of beds and nursing staff in particular areas or during epidemics or waves of mortality. A deadly virus could escape from the hospital or laboratory, and spread to the public through schools or gymnasiums, perhaps due to a lack of hygiene and prophylaxis on the part of healthcare personnel. or research.
Prediction #6 – The surveillance society will face counter-surveillance ..
Desperate at not being able to control more effectively the events that they themselves have triggered, the ruling forces will once again try to take control of the population by inventing false terrorist threats and false deaths of notorious terrorists, inventions which in their mind allow to scare the population and give back an aura to political leaders. Likewise, these forces will set up interconnections of administrative files and additional police controls.
Spying on the population via, among other things, cellular implants, surveillance cameras and mobile phone tracking, will be reinforced by a large number of States. This espionage will be able to determine the social networks specific to each individual, infiltrate these networks and exercise particular surveillance on those who are considered suspicious or negative for the established order.
Restrictions will be placed on freedom of movement. Air transport will continue to be the target par excellence for the unleashing of control whims, body searches and uncompensated confiscation of personal objects. Full body scanners may be suspended due to scandals surrounding leaked scans, but will eventually be reinstated.
Restrictions will be placed on financial freedom, with the banning of an increasing number of trading practices as well as the criminalization of tax evasion. States will illegally obtain banking computer files abroad if necessary through theft or hacking.
While the penal-repressive system adopts more drastic methods, a growing number of behaviors may be psychiatrized in certain countries – in particular those of youth, seniors, people with criminal records, original lifestyles, low financial resources, and in general any group considered potentially unstable or difficult to manage.
Further attempts to curtail or prevent Internet freedom will come from governments desperate to lose their propaganda war. They will use the subjugation of access providers, the systematic navigation of illicit content or the revocation of certain domain names. These new attempts will be based on laws against “hate” and discrimination, the concept of which could be broadened, on the criminal proscription of certain comments, on the prohibition of speaking about certain subjects (whether either in the political, racial, societal, economic, health, etc. domains), on “anti-spam” regulations which will prevent any outsider from gaining notoriety, as well as on identity laws prohibiting any anonymous posting on the Internet.
We can also expect more cooperation between Google, YouTube, Facebook, Yahoo!… – and state organizations like the NSA, the FBI, the CIA , or Interpol. States will install computer cookies within search engines , hosting servers and major websites.
The unexpected effect of these attempts is that they will be increasingly made aware by the population, who will oppose them using the margins of economic and media freedom that remain. Sabotage, strikes, violent acts and unpredictable events will occur. The surveillance system will be overwhelmed, and will itself be subject to major failures and leaks.
Prediction #7 – Western societies will collapse more and more visibly. Compassionate and community values will, however, regain ground.
We will continue to witness the return of pauperism in advanced countries, the increase in drug consumption, the crumbling of family structures – marked among other things by the high level of divorces, the decline in the number of marriages, the increase in situations of loneliness and uncompensated separations, as well as loss of permanent residence (symptoms of social isolation and/or absence of social support), deterioration of educational supervision and the quality of school programs , the disappearance of popular culture, the decline of urban or community fabrics in favor of peri-urban areas without coherence or security, and the establishment of a chronic situation of urban riots, particularly in France and Great Britain.
The emotional and psychological stability of the population will deteriorate. The prevalence of depressive attacks, improprieties of all kinds, erratic or violent behavior will increase.
In response, compassionate and selfless ideas, without necessary religious connotations, will gain ground, and lead to more engagement in social life, particularly among those freed from the constraints of work. NGOs and charities will play an increasingly important role in public affairs, to the point of overshadowing governments. The erosion of social capital, having reached an extreme point, will begin to be reversed under the effect of events, and we will witness a renewal of solidarity commitment and the development of a new sense of community. In civil society, the purely individual search for self will disappear in favor of a reflection on the values necessary to live together. The same-sex marriage movement will falter, as will all attempts to impose the views of a particular group on society as a whole; it will be increasingly accepted that homosexuality is a deviance which can be tolerated in the private sphere, but cannot acquire social status.
Prediction #8 – Public health will deteriorate as a result of the triple economic, societal and environmental collapse.
Due in particular to the mutagenic weakening of antibiotics and the intensity of human movements, we will witness the return and development of a global health disorder. New pathologies will appear, while some of the archaic viral diseases will return.
The link between mobile phone use and cancer will become increasingly apparent. Medical research will establish the link between the magnetic fields released by cell phones and Wi-Fi, on the one hand, and brain functioning and gliomas, on the other; she will model the process. From 2012, more brain tumors will be documented in young people aged 20 and over who had used a mobile phone intensively in their childhood and adolescence.
The health industry sector, heavily controlled, subsidized and protected from competition by governments, will be implicated in new scandals of scientific fraud or manipulation of information, linked to the use of toxic products such as BPA in plastics and dentistry.
Sperm counts will continue to decline, and infertility rates will continue to rise. DNA mutations (caused by pharmaceuticals and chemicals in the home environment) will develop. Depression, obsessive-compulsive disorders, behavioral instability, STDs and cancer will continue to rise in the population beyond a certain age but also among young people.
Homeopathy, phytotherapy and the intelligent use of supplements and alternative therapies will be the subject of repeated attacks, legal or media, from conventional medicine.
Prediction #9 – Southern chaos will continue.
The social chaos in the countries of the South will worsen. The “Arab Spring” of 2011 brought down dictators and others will fall again, but the “democracies” that succeed them will prove incapable of resolving the contradictions linked to social inequalities, age structure, economic difficulties , to the contradiction between Western influence and traditional culture, to the rise of socio-religious fanaticism. Islamist currents, “moderate” or not, will take power in many of these countries following the fall of secular dictators and/or the failure of transition experiments.
A North-South confrontation, with theological and ethnic aspects, will replace the old East-West conflict, but more serious because it will be less artificial in nature. It will take, over an increasingly extensive geographical field, the form of attacks against Western interests and Christian churches, of calls for civil disobedience, riots and revenge against Whites in the West itself, competition for the appropriation of resources of all kinds, delinquency and collective violence, but also an Islamic religious expansion involving the conversion of certain Westerners.
The emergence of radical Islam is the repercussion of the influence of the West, which wanted to impose on the entire world the model of atheistic individualism and the cult of merchandise. As a reaction, Islam became radicalized, at the same time as it became once again dominating and conquering, in accordance with its tradition. His overall practice continues to increase. It will become the most practiced religion in certain important cities in Europe, particularly in France
Prediction #10 – Awareness of cultural differences will increase. The failure of immigration policies will become more and more evident.
The quantitative importance of immigration will reach new heights. Governments will find it increasingly difficult to hide this reality, just as they will find it increasingly difficult to deny the scale of the problems it poses.
Attitudes around immigration and ethnicity will change rapidly. The deep and irreducible nature of cultural differences will be increasingly made aware by the population. It will become clear that all ethnic groups cannot easily coexist with each other and even less blend into an undifferentiated whole. It will be increasingly recognized that the nature of immigration is to be a process of colonization of population of the Northern hemisphere by the peoples of the South desired, organized and promoted by the political classes of the North.
The failure of multi-ethnic society will be increasingly admitted by the population and then by the political class. This failure will manifest itself in conflicts between ethnic groups, social unrest, the “ethnic revival” (cultural throwback) of new generations from immigration, the long-term failure of mixed couples, and construction difficulties. identity for people of mixed origin.
In certain Western countries, the combination of deep impoverishment and latent ethnic war could trigger large-scale ethnic conflicts. Individual acts such as that of Anders Breivik in Norway in 2011 will occur in countries of recent immigration where the cultural identity of the native population is only beginning to be destabilized.
The myth of population growth at all costs will collapse. In a context of high unemployment, it will be more and more obvious that this only worsens the situation, and that it would have been better to develop the knowledge economy by training smaller generations in advanced technologies. of local stock.
There will be a growing awareness that immigration is unfundable, both because of the number of beneficiaries and the amount of long-term training, installation and integration expenses it involves, as well as the cost of different support and surveillance systems for unstable populations.
Prediction #11 – Military and political tensions between states will increase. The United States will try to regain control of the situation but will not succeed.
The economic crisis, the shift of economic power towards Asia and the chaos in the South will fuel contradictions between States.
The increasingly obvious and pronounced decline of the United States will lead it to desperate attempts to regain control of the situation. The two world wars 14-18 and 39-45 allowed the United States to overcome its two largest debts, but also for the country to become the world’s leading economic power. The temptation will therefore be strong in certain political circles to try the same remedy a third time. In a multipolar world where war now involves multiple methods, the United States will, however, have difficulty identifying a united front that it can fight conventionally. They will be torn between their interventionism which leads them to maintain the largest army in the world, and their budgetary situation which will quickly lead them to the threshold of default.
In the medium term, the US could be close to an acute conflict with China over the distribution of natural resources, oil, natural gas and rare metals. This conflict could take the form of computer hacking and industrial espionage on the part of the Chinese, before entering a phase of military confrontation or threat of confrontation.
In the shorter term, an attack by Israel against Iran is within the realm of possibility. This attack would target Iranian nuclear facilities, which could trigger widespread radioactive pollution in the region. An international extension of the conflict is plausible.
Another possibility is that the Pakistani regime loses control of the situation and more radical forces take control of that state’s nuclear arsenal, which could then destabilize the region and threaten Israel, India or others. rival powers.
Drastic changes are predictable and, for some, imminent.
Anyway… good luck to everyone for 2012, and beyond!
